While theoretically possible, a break in the AED-USD peg is considered extremely unlikely by most economists. The UAE holds massive foreign exchange reserves (over $100 billion) and sovereign wealth fund assets (ADIA alone manages over $700 billion). These reserves give the Central Bank of the UAE enormous capacity to defend the peg. Additionally, the peg has survived multiple global crises — including the 2008 financial crisis, the 2014-2016 oil price crash, and the COVID-19 pandemic — without any serious pressure. The UAE government has repeatedly affirmed its commitment to maintaining the peg.